Over the last year I have avoided publicly discussing politics. Later on that. The republican race for president has gotten the best of me. I could not resist it anymore. The state of things for republican voters is at an all time low. This situation has lead me to my political prediction for the month: None of the current republicans running for president will secure enough delegates to win the nomination. The current bloodletting will be too much for the party to heal from. There will be a reshuffling of the deck and party insiders will nominate a bland milquetoast current or former elected official with significant name recognition to run against President Obama.
Right now you have four candidates vying for the nomination. Each one is is becoming less and less palatable to their own party, let alone the general electorate. You have Romney with his wealth, religious, and flip-flopping issues. Then there is Newt with his shear distain for anyone other than himself, his values problems, along with a mounting evidence of hypocrisy. The next guy in the room is Santorum, who wants to control our lives down to how we plan our family; straight or otherwise. Finally, you have Ron Paul, who just does not fit. With Paul I can not help but to think of the old kids song that goes, “One of these things is not like others.”
As more details come out about these men that have accumulated a long history of public record, financial transactions, and political votes we see a clearer picture that the other is using to persuade voters to, “not vote for me, just don’t vote for that guy.” The infighting between the republican candidates has reached a new level in viscousness. One, that is for once, is fulled by the truth. You this these sort of trickles of controversial histories come out ever election cycle, but to this degree, I think we can all say, is a new level.
Come convention time in Tampa Bay this August there will be no stone unturned, no closet left closed, no skeleton still hiding. The result will be a split convention where party leaders will be scrambling to dig up two individuals that the party insiders can get behind and the party base can vote for. These two individuals will emerge as the ticket of reason and excitability for the republican traditionalists. Should this actually occur republicans stand stand a chance of winning the White House in 2012.
If the republicans continue down their present course they will see a defeat similar to Reagan over Mondale in 84′.
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